Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington carries $6.7 billion of CMBS across 263 loans, and the sector shape here runs against the national script. Office is the largest book at $2.1 billion, but its distress rate of 6.7% sits well below the 11.3% national office mark — this is not where the metro's stress is concentrated. The elevated reading is in multifamily, a $1.2 billion book running at 9.8%, above the 7.6% national rate. Retail (2.1%), industrial (0.7%) and hospitality (0.0%) all print at or under their national comps.
The filed record is flat: distress stood at 4.7% as of July 2026, with a median DSCR of 1.58 across the book. The heaviest maturity load lands in 2028, when $1.6 billion comes due — a wall that currently shows a 0.9% distress rate, with the later years carrying the higher filed marks. Over the next 24 months, $1.5 billion is set to mature.
On the ground, the past year brought 87 store closures and 42 layoff notices totaling 7,802 jobs. The metro's unemployment rate was 4.2% in July 2026, down 0.9 points year over year. Among 41 banks with local exposure, two are flagged distressed and six sit on early-warning watch.
In Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, distress is broad and elevated across all four independent feeds, with all 6 pairs reading hot and 0 disagreeing or quiet, and 4 of 4 signals elevated. Store closures sit at 74 closures (2.92 per 100k jobs, 5th of 392 by count vs. 91st by rate), while WARN layoff notices total 44 (0.25% of employment, 21st by count, 94th by rate). Bank CRE over the noncurrent line reaches $4,864.5mm, or 6.71% of the metro's lent CRE (12th by count, 111th by rate), and securitized loans in special servicing total 93 rows, or 4.56% of the securitized balance read (2nd by count, 74th by rate; the bank figure is an allocation by branch deposits, and the CMBS value is a floor measured over 19.4% of special-servicing rows — not a precise ceiling on stress).
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
74 closures | 2.92 per 100k jobs | 5 of 392 | 91 of 392 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
44 notices | 0.25% | 21 of 386 | 94 of 386 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$4.86bn | 6.71% | 12 of 393 | 111 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-03-31
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
93 loan records | 4.56% | 2 of 335 | 74 of 335 | elevated
floor 2026-07-29
|
In Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, the elevated distress signals are bank distressed CRE, CMBS special servicing, closures, and WARN notices. On the credit side, bank distressed CRE exposure stands at $4.86bn (with a 90th-percentile at-risk share of 13.1% of $72.46bn bank CRE), and CMBS special servicing UPB is $312.0mm (a 4.6% share of metro UPB). Real-economy signals are also firing: 74 one-year store closures and 44 WARN notices. Notably, the CMBS dollar figure is a floor, as measured over 19.4% of the metro's 93 special-servicing rows; the rest carry no balance. The reading on distressed bank assets is 0 (with 0 distressed banks), and the bank allocation share is 4.7%. The convergence score is 4, indicating multiple signals aligning. Not readable from the provided data: any non-bank lender CRE distress detail beyond the stated figures, or a distinct measure for bank CRE at risk beyond the p90 percentile—no alternative percentiles are available.
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilmington Savings Fund Society, Fsb DE | 89.8% | 225% total 301%
|
🔒 | 0.68% |
| Fulton Bank, National Association PA | 32.0% | 184% total 283%
|
🔒 | 0.79% |
| Firstrust Savings Bank PA | 94.7% | 245% total 306%
|
🔒 | 0.74% |
| Penn Community Bank PA | 97.3% | 229% total 278%
|
🔒 | 0.82% |
| Univest Bank And Trust Co. PA | 88.3% | 264% total 373%
|
🔒 | 0.22% |
| Parke Bank NJ | 76.2% | 254% total 306%
|
🔒 | 0.19% |
| Ambler Savings Bank PA | 83.1% | 113% total 174%
|
🔒 | 0.04% |
| Phoenixville Federal Bank And Trust PA | 100.0% | 176% total 237%
|
🔒 | 0.38% |
| Customers Bank PA | 2.6% | 179% total 253%
|
🔒 | 0.30% |
| Newfield National Bank NJ | 58.3% | 174% total 300%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Asian Bank PA | 100.0% | 251% total 337%
|
🔒 | 1.22% |
| Franklin Bank NJ | 91.6% | 136% total 211%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Century Savings Bank NJ | 32.5% | 131% total 225%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Quaint Oak Bank PA | 77.8% | 232% total 503%
|
🔒 | 1.10% |
| Haddon Savings Bank NJ | 100.0% | 192% total 225%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Iron Workers Savings Bank PA | 100.0% | 145% total 265%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Citizens & Northern Bank PA | 20.8% | 262% total 366%
|
🔒 | 2.56% |
| The First National Bank Of Elmer NJ | 85.6% | 237% total 440%
|
🔒 | 1.30% |
| Harleysville Bank PA | 88.8% | 284% total 291%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Harford Bank MD | 9.6% | 235% total 419%
|
🔒 | 1.52% |
| Peoples Security Bank And Trust Company PA | 3.2% | 290% total 389%
|
🔒 | 0.33% |
| Sharon Bank PA | 100.0% | 361% total 435%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Meridian Bank PA | 100.0% | 306% total 448%
|
🔒 | 4.33% |
| First Resource Bank PA | 100.0% | 454% total 620%
|
🔒 | 0.06% |
| Qnb Bank PA | 81.2% | 332% total 436%
|
🔒 | 0.68% |
| Artisans' Bank DE | 68.7% | 302% total 400%
|
🔒 | 0.40% |
| Hyperion Bank PA | 56.8% | 348% total 363%
|
🔒 | 0.91% |
| The Bank Of Princeton NJ | 39.6% | 382% total 509%
|
🔒 | 1.09% |
| First Bank NJ | 30.9% | 339% total 486%
|
🔒 | 0.84% |
| First Citizens Community Bank PA | 25.7% | 320% total 401%
|
🔒 | 1.98% |
| Mid Penn Bank PA | 19.9% | 328% total 438%
|
🔒 | 0.25% |
| Columbia Bank NJ | 12.6% | 350% total 405%
|
🔒 | 0.32% |
| S&t Bank PA | 10.9% | 309% total 339%
|
🔒 | 0.24% |
| Tompkins Community Bank NY | 6.3% | 323% total 392%
|
🔒 | 0.68% |
| Oceanfirst Bank, National Association NJ | 5.4% | 384% total 456%
|
🔒 | 0.95% |
| First Commerce Bank NJ | 5.3% | 459% total 634%
|
🔒 | 0.41% |
| Provident Bank NJ | 0.8% | 422% total 526%
|
🔒 | 0.59% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian Bank | $1.1B | 306% total 448%
|
4.33% | 🔒 |
| Santander Bank, N.a. | $17.1B | 117% total 124%
|
3.20% | 🔒 |
| The First National Bank Of Elmer | $196M | 237% total 440%
|
1.30% | 🔒 |
| Quaint Oak Bank | $370M | 232% total 503%
|
1.10% | 🔒 |
| Artisans' Bank | $326M | 302% total 400%
|
0.40% | 🔒 |
| Sharon Bank | $72M | 361% total 435%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
| Franklin Bank | $77M | 136% total 211%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
| The National Bank Of Malvern | $51M | 97% total 138%
|
0.00% | 🔒 |
Banks lending in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD appear to have ample capacity to refinance the CMBS debt maturing over the next 24 months: the wall of $1.47bn against $2.44bn of room after committed draws gives a wall_to_room of 0.60, and before those committed draws are deducted the ratio is 0.31. The reading sits in the slack band, though at 71 of 270 counting from the most strained, this metro is more strained than the typical ranked metro (0.60 is ABOVE the median of 0.20). The $1.47bn wall covers 58 maturing loans, and the capacity rests on 37 qualifying banks, with 5 banks excluded here — so this is a metro whose credit is visible rather than an exclusion artifact, since explained_by_exclusion is false. Note that room is a proxy for lending footprint, and the wall is CMBS-only, making every ratio an upper bound on how much of it local banks would have to absorb.
| REIT | SS NOI | SS Revenue | Occupancy | Rent | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UDR | +4.5% | +4.4% | 97.0% | +4.4% | 2026-07-27 |
Over the past 365 days, the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD metro has recorded 87 store closures and 42 WARN notices, affecting 7,802 jobs; the jobs figure is a floor, since notices that state no headcount are counted but contribute 0 jobs. On the bankruptcy side, the reading is a state proxy rather than a metro-native count — 1 CRE-likely filing in the states this metro's collateral sits in, since bankruptcy filings carry the filer's state, not the property's location.