Boston-Cambridge-Newton carries $5.9 billion of CMBS across 82 loans, and the securitized record here reads conspicuously calm. Mixed-Use is the metro's largest book at $2.7 billion and sits at 0.0% distressed, against a 5.4% national rate for the sector. Retail ($0.6 billion) and Multifamily ($0.2 billion) likewise show no distress, running below national marks of 2.6% and 7.9%. Office is the thinner exposure at $1.4 billion — a sector carrying 11.1% distress nationally — leaving the local book light where the national pain is heaviest.
The refinancing calendar is deferred rather than imminent. The heaviest maturity load lands in 2029 at $1.3 billion, followed by $1.1 billion in 2030 and $1.0 billion in 2028, with none of those cohorts currently showing distress. Among the 57 banks tracked in the metro, three are flagged distressed and another 11 sit in early-warning territory.
The divergence is on the ground. The metro logged 115 distress events over the past year — 54 store closures and 61 layoff notices — accounting for 4,842 jobs. That filed record stands apart from a CMBS book that, for now, shows no securitized distress across its largest sectors. Unemployment was 4.1% as of August 2026, down 0.3 point year over year, even as office-using employment of 731,636 slipped 1.6% over the same stretch.
In Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH the readings show 3 legs elevated out of four, with the store closures leg at 56 closures and 2.33 per 100k jobs, the layoff notices (WARN) leg at 65 notices and 0.18%, and the bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line leg at $10.18bn and 12.36%; the securitized loans in special servicing leg sits lower at 2 loan records and 3.27%. Across the 6 pairs of legs compared, 3 are pairs with both legs elevated, 0 are pairs with both legs quiet, and 3 are pairs where the legs disagree — among them store closures against securitized loans in special servicing, where the closures side is the elevated one, and bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line against the tape, where the bank side is elevated and the reading is that lenders here are stressed on a book the tape cannot see, with the bank figure itself an allocation by branch deposits that the call report cannot confirm. Note that the counts are ranked by size over a flat threshold while the rates are ranked separately, so the store closures leg ranks 8th by count against 168th by rate and the WARN leg 12th by count against 124th by rate; there are no legs that cannot be read and no pairs that cannot be read because a leg is blind.
| Signal | Level | Rate | Rank by count | Rank by rate | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| store closures store closures per 100,000 jobs |
56 closures | 2.33 per 100k jobs | 8 of 392 | 168 of 392 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| layoff notices (WARN) workers on layoff notices as a share of the metro's employment |
65 notices | 0.18% | 12 of 382 | 124 of 382 | elevated trailing 365 days to today
|
| bank CRE at lenders over the noncurrent line share of the CRE lent into this metro that sits at a lender over the blended-noncurrent line |
$10.18bn | 12.36% | 5 of 393 | 41 of 393 | elevated
allocated 2026-06-30
|
| securitized loans in special servicing share of the securitized balance read here that is in special servicing |
2 loan records | 3.27% | 66 of 335 | 86 of 335 | quiet 2026-09-29
|
| Bank | Deposit share | CRE / Capital* | Room contributed | Noncurrent CRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Bank MA | 91.3% | 253% total 302%
|
🔒 | 0.72% |
| Institution For Savings In Newburyport And Its Vicinity MA | 100.0% | 128% total 150%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Middlesex Savings Bank MA | 90.7% | 196% total 224%
|
🔒 | 0.39% |
| Northern Bank & Trust Company MA | 100.0% | 181% total 236%
|
🔒 | 0.22% |
| Rockland Trust Company MA | 74.2% | 276% total 351%
|
🔒 | 0.66% |
| Salem Five Cents Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 251% total 295%
|
🔒 | 0.47% |
| Leader Bank, National Association MA | 100.0% | 229% total 250%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mutualone Bank MA | 100.0% | 136% total 176%
|
🔒 | 8.60% |
| Avidia Bank MA | 70.6% | 137% total 200%
|
🔒 | 0.83% |
| Main Street Bank MA | 87.1% | 153% total 213%
|
🔒 | 2.88% |
| Trunorth Bank MA | 100.0% | 260% total 314%
|
🔒 | 0.40% |
| Dedham Institution For Savings MA | 100.0% | 252% total 279%
|
🔒 | 2.46% |
| North Easton Savings Bank MA | 48.3% | 162% total 222%
|
🔒 | 2.57% |
| Coastal Heritage Bank MA | 100.0% | 176% total 244%
|
🔒 | 0.83% |
| The Village Bank MA | 100.0% | 233% total 271%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| The Bank Of Canton MA | 100.0% | 190% total 217%
|
🔒 | 1.79% |
| Haverhill Bank MA | 100.0% | 131% total 207%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Salem Co-Operative Bank NH | 100.0% | 140% total 196%
|
🔒 | 0.31% |
| Pentucket Bank MA | 100.0% | 226% total 314%
|
🔒 | 1.23% |
| East Cambridge Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 260% total 303%
|
🔒 | 0.01% |
| The Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 223% total 241%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Webster Bank, National Association CT | 1.8% | 256% total 287%
|
🔒 | 0.84% |
| The Cooperative Bank MA | 100.0% | 193% total 289%
|
🔒 | 0.12% |
| Marblehead Bank MA | 100.0% | 101% total 132%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| South Shore Bank MA | 100.0% | 279% total 352%
|
🔒 | 0.09% |
| Dean Co-Operative Bank MA | 67.1% | 126% total 164%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Winter Hill Bank, Fsb MA | 100.0% | 188% total 199%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bankgloucester MA | 100.0% | 167% total 323%
|
🔒 | 7.60% |
| Safra National Bank Of New York NY | 1.5% | 102% total 102%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bluestone Bank MA | 61.5% | 269% total 326%
|
🔒 | 2.01% |
| Stonehambank, A Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 267% total 363%
|
🔒 | 0.67% |
| Charles River Bank MA | 82.0% | 177% total 320%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mountainone Bank MA | 33.4% | 259% total 322%
|
🔒 | 1.12% |
| Washington Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 227% total 245%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Profile Bank NH | 57.3% | 185% total 236%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Reading Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 281% total 350%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Meredith Village Savings Bank NH | 4.7% | 108% total 177%
|
🔒 | 0.05% |
| Partners Bank Of New England ME | 11.8% | 214% total 267%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Newburyport Five Cents Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 294% total 392%
|
🔒 | 2.53% |
| Bangor Savings Bank ME | 2.1% | 243% total 307%
|
🔒 | 0.51% |
| Unibank For Savings MA | 1.3% | 136% total 161%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Fidelity Co-Operative Bank MA | 15.3% | 278% total 326%
|
🔒 | 5.32% |
| Primary Bank NH | 7.2% | 253% total 380%
|
🔒 | 1.49% |
| The Camden National Bank ME | 1.0% | 261% total 325%
|
🔒 | 0.25% |
| Merrimack County Savings Bank NH | 0.4% | 155% total 227%
|
🔒 | 1.15% |
| Cambridge Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 339% total 361%
|
🔒 | 2.24% |
| Everett Co-Operative Bank MA | 100.0% | 463% total 495%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Onelocal Bank MA | 100.0% | 320% total 372%
|
🔒 | 0.24% |
| Middlesex Federal Savings, F.a. MA | 100.0% | 366% total 447%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Winchester Savings Bank MA | 100.0% | 390% total 425%
|
🔒 | 0.27% |
| Needham Bank MA | 98.7% | 314% total 412%
|
🔒 | 0.03% |
| The Lowell Five Cent Savings Bank MA | 96.1% | 331% total 388%
|
🔒 | 1.24% |
| Eagle Bank MA | 92.4% | 330% total 430%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bank Of New England NH | 91.6% | 447% total 501%
|
🔒 | 1.78% |
| Hingham Institution For Savings MA | 83.7% | 525% total 552%
|
🔒 | 1.03% |
| Beacon Bank And Trust MA | 40.9% | 336% total 412%
|
🔒 | 0.82% |
| Kennebunk Savings Bank ME | 20.1% | 424% total 531%
|
🔒 | 0.08% |
| Rollstone Bank & Trust MA | 16.4% | 341% total 422%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Northeast Community Bank NY | 11.9% | 501% total 501%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Mechanics Cooperative Bank MA | 8.8% | 314% total 388%
|
🔒 | 0.00% |
| Bank Of New Hampshire NH | 7.3% | 354% total 437%
|
🔒 | 0.81% |
| Oneunited Bank MA | 3.8% | 609% total 611%
|
🔒 | 0.38% |
| Baycoast Bank MA | 3.2% | 303% total 460%
|
🔒 | 2.15% |
| Bank | Total CRE | CRE / Capital* | Noncurrent CRE | Early Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bankgloucester | $117M | 167% total 323%
|
7.60% | 🔒 |
| State Street Bank And Trust Company | $2.3B | 11% total 11%
|
12.78% | 🔒 |
| Mutualone Bank | $463M | 136% total 176%
|
8.60% | 🔒 |
| Newburyport Five Cents Savings Bank | $674M | 294% total 392%
|
2.53% | 🔒 |
| Cambridge Savings Bank | $2.8B | 339% total 361%
|
2.24% | 🔒 |
| The Bank Of Canton | $266M | 190% total 217%
|
1.79% | 🔒 |
| Beacon Bank And Trust | $9.6B | 336% total 412%
|
0.82% | 🔒 |
| Northern Bank & Trust Company | $1.2B | 181% total 236%
|
0.22% | 🔒 |
| REIT | SS NOI | SS Revenue | Occupancy | Rent | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVB | — | +0.7% | 95.7% | +1.4% | 2026-07-30 |
| EQR | -0.9% | +1.5% | 95.8% | +1.4% | 2026-04-28 |
| UDR | +1.4% | +2.1% | 96.7% | +2.3% | 2026-07-27 |
In Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH over the past 365, the record shows 61 WARN layoff notices affecting 4,842 jobs on those notices — a figure that is a floor, since notices stating no headcount count toward the notices but add no jobs — alongside 56 store closures and 8 cRE-related bankruptcies, the last of which is a state-level proxy rather than a metro-native count and is not comparable across the 2026-09-16 coverage change.